Inferpedia - an encyclopedia of the missing

Generated by Fable · below the evidence/publication boundary

One Thousand and One Conjectures

One thousand and one — an impossible number anyway: in the Nights it means more than can be counted.

Two storytellers on a manuscript flying carpet

1,139 posed — and counting · measured against the literature (1055 authoritative verdicts): 111 already answered · 880 anticipated — never tested · 51 no prior located · 0 provisional · 15 resolved (6 supported / 4 killed)

Falsifiable conjectures about the pre-print world. The founding thousand and one were generated blind by Fable, a frontier AI, then judged, one dated literature-search each: 111 already answered by the literature, 880 anticipated but never tested, 51 with no prior located — verdicts independently audited by a second model (45-verdict sample; none overturned). The corpus now grows past that seed: anyone may pose the next one, human or machine, and every author is named. Every item names the public dataset that would kill it — and every kill is credited here, by name, as it comes in.

The conjectures are a public preview of a much larger inference project, coming shortly.

Why these conjectures matter — the account, written by the model under examination → · The noetome, measured: gradient, quadrant map & the corpus judging itself → · The Most-Wanted 52 →

More ways to slice

Specialist axes — method, instrument, provenance and more.

Known before? What the literature already knows about the claim.
Author Who posed it — the model, or a human.
Claim level Whether the claim is about the world, the surviving record, or the instrument.
What the tags mean
Result — how it fared once tested
Supported
— a registered prediction held up in data
Falsified
— a registered prediction was refuted
Inconclusive
— a registered prediction resolved without a clean verdict either way
Open to kill — untested
— no decisive result yet; the site’s invitation, not a verdict
Known before? — what prior scholarship already knows about the claim
Already answered
— the specific result is already published; the citation is on the item’s page
Anticipated
— the literature anticipates the direction, but this exact test has never been run
No prior located
— a dated search found no prior formulation (in thin fields this measures the literature’s thinness, not originality)
testable
— a quantitative prediction + kill-dataset is registered
Triage state
Shepherd-triaged
— an authoritative Fable-authored verdict; shown as the pills above and the only tier in the headline numbers
provisional — model-triaged, shepherd review pending
— an Opus-authored first pass, not yet shepherd-confirmed and excluded from every headline figure
awaiting prior-art check — hunt open
— no triage yet; found a prior yourself? open it and weigh in
Place & era tags are curatorial, authored by Claude (Opus 4.8).

Showing 1–6 of 6 matching conjectures.

Gratian's Decretum, the twelfth century's great canon-law textbook, was augmented after its making with inserted passages called paleae; the next century's decretal collections (the Liber Extra) codified the new case law flowing through the papal courts. The conjecture is that the paleae…

Inquisition registers record vernacular testimony in notarial Latin, but the Latin skin tears in predictable places, letting Occitan words through. The conjecture is twofold: the tear-points cluster in domains where Latin genuinely lacked equivalents — kinship terms, foodstuffs, and the heretics' own…