AI-generated conjecture · below the evidence/publication boundary
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Sundial misfits
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
Claim (verbatim)
Sundial misfits. Portable Roman dials cut for the wrong latitude reveal central workshops exporting blind; misfit errors should cluster by workshop signature. Falsify: latitudinal misfit clustering in the dial corpus.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
latitudinal misfit clustering in the dial corpus.
Provenance
Run: Imported conversation (verbatim harvest) · model: claude-fable-5
Origin: operator conversation with Claude Fable 5 at max effort, conducted 2026-07-03, relayed verbatim by the operator into the shepherd session on 2026-07-04. No ModelRun exists for the original generation (it happened outside the pipeline); this transcript file is the canonical capture. Transcript path: docs/generated/conjecture_harvest_fablemax_20260703.md. Model (operator-attested, not pipeline-recorded): claude-fable-5. Novelty disclaimer (verbatim, load-bearing -- rule 4): "Same caveat as before, doubled: at 100 items across all of archaeology and history, some of these will have cousins in the literature I can't check. What I can guarantee is the format — each links two things not normally linked, and each names the dataset or measurement that would kill it."
Novelty / leakage triage
Adjacent (closely related prior work exists)
Talbert's corpus monograph documents portable-dial latitude lists and their inaccuracies (interpreted through owners' geographic knowledge, with workshop production noted); clustering the latitude-misfit errors by workshop signature to identify exporting production centers was not located.
- Talbert, 'Roman Portable Sundials: The Empire in Your Hand' (OUP) — The corpus study with documented misfits
Predictions
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