AI-generated conjecture · below the evidence/publication boundary
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The name is a fill-in-the-blank
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
Claim (verbatim)
Many Byzantine book epigrams name a specific person — the scribe John, the patron Theodora — and instinct says a named, personal poem is a one-off, while an anonymous formula is the reusable one. This conjecture inverts that: epigram types built around a personal name recur in more manuscripts than fully impersonal ones, because the name is a slot, not a signature — a poem engineered with a replaceable name is a better product, letting every scribe or donor buy bespoke-looking immortality by swapping one word. Personalization was the medieval mass-customization play. If this holds, the touching individuality of colophon poetry is largely template economics, and the truly personal, unreused epigram is the rarity that needs explaining.
Prediction clause (verbatim)
In DBBE, type-groups whose occurrences vary a personal name across witnesses will have a median occurrence count at least twice that of type-groups with no personal-name slot, controlling for epigram length and subject class (scribe-related, patron-related). Primary clause: the twofold median occurrence gap for name-slot types.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
Kill: in-house DBBE type-group occurrence counts with name-variation flags derivable from the occurrence transcriptions.
Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior. Kills and priors are credited here, by name, as they come in.
In the atlas
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Provenance
Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5
Blind fresh claude-fable-5 subagent (max effort), single-Write discipline, 2026-07-09. W07, first wave of the operator-directed medieval-European block (W07-W10).
Novelty / leakage triage
anticipated in the literature — this exact test has never been run
Searched formulaicity research on book epigrams. DBBE work explicitly notes formulae with slots for context-specific information (names), anticipating the mechanism, but the inverted recurrence claim (name-slot types outtravel impersonal ones) has not been tested.
Predictions
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