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AI-generated conjecture · below the evidence/publication boundary

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New heretics, old refutations

Status: Already answered

Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).

This is a proposed connection between two domains, generated by a language model. It is not an article and not evidence: it sits below the evidence/publication boundary. A quantitative prediction and a named kill-dataset are attached (when registered) so the claim stays falsifiable rather than merely evocative.

Claim (verbatim)

When thirteenth-century churchmen wrote against the Cathars, they faced a dualist enemy Augustine had already fought under another name nine centuries earlier. The conjecture is that heresiology ran on template reuse to a measurable extreme: anti-Cathar treatises should cite Augustine's specifically anti-Manichaean works at several times those works' share in ordinary contemporary theology, because refuting a 'new' dualism from the old arsenal was cheaper, safer, and rhetorically framed the enemy as a rerun. Polemicists reached for the shelf marked 'dualists' rather than observing the dualists in front of them. If it holds, medieval descriptions of Catharism are systematically contaminated by fourth-century Manichaeism at a rate we can quantify, with direct consequences for how far the sources describe the sect at all.

Prediction clause (verbatim)

Primary clause: the citation share of Augustine's anti-Manichaean corpus (Contra Faustum, De moribus, etc.) within thirteenth-century anti-heretical treatises is at least five times that corpus's share of Augustine citations in contemporary Sentences commentaries. Secondary: the overweight shrinks in treatises by authors with documented inquisitorial field experience.

Kill-dataset (verbatim)

Source apparatus of the anti-heretical treatises edited in Corpus Christianorum Continuatio Mediaevalis (e.g., Moneta of Cremona's tradition, Durand of Huesca), with the in-house Aquinas citation corpus as the non-polemical baseline.

In the atlas

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Provenance

Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5

This packet was produced in a single blind Write from model-internal knowledge only, with no repository reads, web access, database queries, or any tool call other than this Write.

Novelty / leakage triage

already answered in the literature

The specific connection is published and much debated: Pegg, Moore and the deconstructionist school argue that thirteenth-century descriptions and refutations of the 'Cathars' were built from ancient anti-heretical templates, above all Augustine's anti-Manichaean writings, contaminating the sources' picture of the sect. Only the citation-share quantification is new.

Predictions

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