The troper is a passport

Status: Anticipated · untested

Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).

This is a proposed connection between two domains, generated by a language model. It is not an article and not evidence: it sits below the evidence/publication boundary. A quantitative prediction and a named kill-dataset are attached (when registered) so the claim stays falsifiable rather than merely evocative.

Claim (verbatim)

Tropers — personal-format books of optional festal chants — have transmission patterns that refuse to follow monastic family trees, which frustrates stemmatics. This conjecture claims they follow people instead of institutions: trope concordances between houses match the documented movements of individual monks and the confraternity ties recorded in necrologies and libri memoriales, because the troper was a cantor's private professional kit that traveled with his body and was copied where he died or visited. The trope repertory is a prosopographical trace, not an institutional one. If this holds, trope stemmatics should be rebuilt on necrology name-links, and the failure of filiation-based models becomes the expected signal rather than noise.

Prediction clause (verbatim)

Primary clause: pairs of houses sharing rare tropes (attested in 5 or fewer sources) are linked in the confraternity/necrology network (shared commemorated individuals or documented personnel transfer) at a rate at least three times that of matched house-pairs sharing only common tropes; parity kills the item. Secondary clause: where a rare-trope link and a filiation link disagree about a source's affiliations, the necrology link predicts the fuller concordance set in the majority of cases.

Kill-dataset (verbatim)

Corpus Troporum concordance apparatus (published, complete for major trope genres) against the edited libri memoriales and necrologies (MGH Libri memoriales series, public, with tens of thousands of name-links between houses) — a network overlap test.

Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior. Kills and priors are credited here, by name, as they come in.

In the atlas

This conjecture is bridged, as an L1 lead, onto these Inferpedia subject pages.

Provenance

Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5

Generated blind in a single Write from the inline prompt only, with no file reads, web access, database queries, or other tool calls.

Novelty / leakage triage

anticipated in the literature — this exact test has never been run

Trope-transmission scholarship (Planchart) already documents that trope repertories resist clean institutional filiation and change through personal, contact-based transmission — the direction is established; rebuilding the network on necrology/confraternity name-links with a rare-trope odds ratio is the un-run statistic.

A.E. Planchart, 'On the Nature of Transmission and Change in Trope Repertories'

Predictions

No prediction registered yet.

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