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L2 Candidate Other Published_Beta Priority 63

Lost equestrian statue of Aemilius Paullus at Delphi

Draft review article for the lost crowning statue or upper sculptural program of the Aemilius Paullus Delphi victory monument.

Open published article

L4 Draft articles and reviews

Lost equestrian statue of Aemilius Paullus at Delphi v1 ยท Published
Published Warrant 78 Attestation 64 Specificity 68

A review draft for the unrecovered crowning statue of an attested Roman victory monument

This is a visible L4 draft/review article, not an L5 published Inferpedia article. The publication state is part of the audit trail.

This article describes an entity that is not directly attested by a surviving complete source and should not be read as an ordinary documented fact.

Epistemic status

Draft Inferpedia article. The Delphi monument of Lucius Aemilius Paullus is attested by inscription, ancient narrative, surviving architectural and sculptural material, and museum scholarship. This entry concerns the lost equestrian statue and unrecovered upper sculptural program implied by those traces.

Summary

After the Roman victory over Perseus at Pydna, Paullus reused or completed a Delphic pillar originally associated with Perseus. The surviving record anchors the monument and its frieze, but the crowning statue or group has not survived. Codex source-reading found enough warrant for a narrow draft on that lost sculptural component and its reconstruction.

What is being inferred

The inferred entity is the lost crowning statue and associated upper program of the victory monument: an equestrian statue or sculptural group required by ancient, epigraphic, and museum-context sources but not preserved as a recovered object.

What is attested

Plutarch preserves a narrative of Paullus ordering his own statue onto Perseus' intended pillar. The EDCS record preserves the dedicatory frame at Delphi in 168/7 BCE. The Delphi archaeological site page and modern scholarship attest the pillar, surviving frieze context, and later reconstruction work.

Why infer this entity

The sources repeatedly describe a monument that had more than the surviving base and frieze. A crowning statue is part of the monument's historical logic, but the object itself is missing. That makes the article a controlled lost-artwork dossier, not a claim that the exact form, figure arrangement, or artist can be recovered.

Evidence ledger

  • Delphi archaeological site page: describes the Perseus-to-Paullus pillar, frieze, equestrian statue, and post-Pydna dating.
  • Plutarch, Life of Aemilius Paulus: ancient literary witness for Paullus using Perseus' intended pillar for his own statue.
  • EDCS CIL 01, 00622: epigraphic control for the dedicatory frame at Delphi.
  • Taylor article: modern reassessment of the battle-scene frieze and its Roman victory interpretation.
  • Journal of Roman Studies article surface: reconstruction context noting that the crowning statue or group was not recovered.

Counterarguments

The monument itself is not missing; it has surviving and cataloged components. The statue's form and the upper program's details depend on reconstruction, not direct survival. The safest Inferpedia object is therefore the missing statue/program, not a full account of the entire monument.

Confidence scores

  • Direct attestation score: 64
  • Existence warrant score: 78
  • Specificity score: 68
  • Reconstruction dependence score: 70
  • Counterevidence score: 54

What would change the score

The score would rise if a museum, excavation, or block-by-block study identifies additional physical traces of the statue or clarifies the upper structure. It would fall if the statue testimony is reinterpreted as formulaic, if the reported group is shown to be a later reconstruction convention, or if surviving material is assigned to a different program.

Why this candidate exists

Codex/subagent read ancient, epigraphic, museum, and scholarly sources for the Delphi victory-monument route. Source title-prior route: route:e4c352c164f52b094860a5a68baa440eeda2de6498f43e6f.

L3 Evidence packet

Archaeological Site of Delphi, Frieze from the pillar of Lucius Aemilius Paullus Macedonicus - Direct attestation

Warrant role: Supporting evidence

Source authority: Archival catalog 84

Access level: Full text

Locator: site page

Paraphrase: The museum/site record states that the pillar begun by Perseus was completed by Paullus after Pydna with a frieze and equestrian statue.

Reliability: 84 - Relevance: 90

Cluster: delphi-site

Plutarch, Life of Aemilius Paulus 28 - Indirect reference

Warrant role: Primary trace

Source authority: Sourcebook 74

Access level: Full text

Locator: Life of Aemilius Paulus 28

Paraphrase: Plutarch is an ancient witness for Paullus finding Perseus' intended pillar at Delphi and ordering his own statue to occupy it.

Reliability: 74 - Relevance: 86

Cluster: plutarch

EDCS, CIL 01, 00622 - Direct attestation

Warrant role: Primary trace

Source authority: Peer-reviewed index 86

Access level: Full text

Locator: epigraphic record

Paraphrase: The epigraphic record preserves the dedicatory frame for Paullus' victory over Perseus and the Macedonians.

Reliability: 86 - Relevance: 92

Cluster: edcs-delphi

Taylor, The Battle Scene on Aemilius Paullus's Pydna Monument - Indirect reference

Warrant role: Supporting evidence

Source authority: Peer-reviewed article 78

Access level: Full text

Locator: article

Paraphrase: The reassessment supports a Roman victory reading of the frieze but shows that several identifications depend on reconstruction and comparison.

Reliability: 78 - Relevance: 84

Cluster: pydna-monument-scholarship

Journal of Roman Studies, A Roman law concerning piracy - Negative evidence

Warrant role: Counterevidence

Source authority: Peer-reviewed article 72

Access level: Full text

Locator: article

Paraphrase: The reconstruction context records no recovered trace of the crowning statue or group and notes reconstruction from surviving frieze blocks with gap filling.

Reliability: 72 - Relevance: 82

Cluster: jrs-delphi

Offline existing-inferon judge ledger control source - Network gap

Warrant role: Noetic interpretation

Source authority: Noetic model prior 50

Access level: No external text

Locator: existing_inferon_judge_promote:inferon:215

Paraphrase: Offline judge treated existing inferon 215 (source_dependence) as support for Lost equestrian statue of Aemilius Paullus at Delphi. Evidence strength: source-backed prior reading already isolated a bounded missing or reconstructed entity; suitable for L2 only. The accountable path is EvidencePath 1277.

Reliability: 78 - Relevance: 66

Cluster: existing_inferon_judge_promote:ab2ea92c4f2bceafc7f70d75e4667baa

Arguments

Abductive - warrant 78

Existing inferon 215 supports an L2 inferred candidate for Lost equestrian statue of Aemilius Paullus at Delphi; this remains below publication and is not direct attestation.

AI-assessed L2 Quotient triage: AI judge warrant assessment for L2 Quotient triage; existing AI-created evidence remains below publication.

Textual stemmatic - warrant 78

A draft article is warranted for the lost equestrian statue and unrecovered upper sculptural program of Aemilius Paullus' Delphi victory monument.

Strong warrant for a draft about the lost statue/program, with high reconstruction dependence and clear surviving countercontrols.