'Reconstructing the Nile: climate, agriculture, and socio-economic change in Roman Egypt'

Cited in the triage of conjecture 'Nilometer to Geniza' (slug: cj-070-nilometer-to-geniza), verdict=leaked -- this connection already exists in the literature. Citation note: Flood-economy coupling Triage rationale: The Nilometer-to-grain-price join is established: medieval Egyptian flood-failure/famine/price linkage is documented in the extreme-floods-and-famines literature (AD 930-1500) and in pre-modern price studies; nilometer readings were used administratively to forecast harvests and set taxation. The 9-month fixed lag and asymmetric response are sharper than anything located, but the connection is published. Chosen partly as a calibration suspect and confirmed leaked.