Inferpedia - an encyclopedia of the missing
The Scriptome

Middle East Scriptome

Counts are not production; catalogues are not completeness; estimates are inferences. Survivorship is the subject of this page, not a footnote.
Period Tradition Public reading Interval or floor Source Ledger
c06 Islamic world
cell-specific estimate
Integrated posterior passed every public-promotion gate for this physical-manuscript cell.
16 physical manuscripts
interval 7-38
integrated_promoted
target unit: physical_manuscript
Inferon evidence path
scriptome-path-6b9daeffa888e72b9d8fa9ebb13d8ba4441bbb7e29fc6b34
c07 Islamic world
cell-specific estimate
Integrated posterior passed every public-promotion gate for this physical-manuscript cell.
15 physical manuscripts
interval 6-35
integrated_promoted
target unit: physical_manuscript
Inferon evidence path
scriptome-path-169320580ef7e6ba22c2d6f60fb417c2996f5197deb04a07
c08 Islamic world
cell-specific estimate
Integrated posterior passed every public-promotion gate for this physical-manuscript cell.
21 physical manuscripts
interval 9-50
integrated_promoted
target unit: physical_manuscript
Inferon evidence path
scriptome-path-28fb751f850411ab49f165e77694959818e418599b85ca72
c09 Islamic world
cell-specific estimate
Integrated posterior passed every public-promotion gate for this physical-manuscript cell.
24 physical manuscripts
interval 10-56
integrated_promoted
target unit: physical_manuscript
Inferon evidence path
scriptome-path-312e550b2ec039d2bb587f17d24959259197ac961b28ef4e
c10 Islamic world
cell-specific estimate
Integrated posterior passed every public-promotion gate for this physical-manuscript cell.
60 physical manuscripts
interval 17-209
integrated_promoted
target unit: physical_manuscript
Inferon evidence path
scriptome-path-48b4e6571c0e5387f6e8eb25f79cd32af2dd3a923ca925e7
c11 Islamic world
cell-specific estimate
Integrated posterior passed every public-promotion gate for this physical-manuscript cell.
249 physical manuscripts
interval 71-869
integrated_promoted
target unit: physical_manuscript
Inferon evidence path
scriptome-path-381b8cd2337eae20d34f8039cfecc888c57c1e89542c94cd
c12 Islamic world
group-inherited estimate — not cell-specific.
Group-inherited estimate; this is not cell-specific and the interval is widened for shrinkage.
Borrowed from group: support_regime=paper|climate_regime=arid|tradition=islamic|catalogue_coverage_tier=sparse
Shrinkage weight to group: 1.00
Group mean mu_g: 48; tau_g: 0.00
48 physical manuscripts
interval 20-115
pooled_group_prior
target unit: physical_manuscript
Inferon evidence path
scriptome-path-21f8d759f61451a67fb1a7783c274b8e6d1549cc31624d8a
c13 Islamic world
group-inherited estimate — not cell-specific.
Group-inherited estimate; this is not cell-specific and the interval is widened for shrinkage.
Borrowed from group: support_regime=paper|climate_regime=arid|tradition=islamic|catalogue_coverage_tier=sparse
Shrinkage weight to group: 1.00
Group mean mu_g: 48; tau_g: 0.00
48 physical manuscripts
interval 20-115
pooled_group_prior
target unit: physical_manuscript
Inferon evidence path
scriptome-path-20b9497889d2cdfb3ad54f9544b133648684791af9cee72f
c14 Islamic world
cell-specific estimate
Integrated posterior passed every public-promotion gate for this physical-manuscript cell.
733 physical manuscripts
interval 210-2555
integrated_promoted
target unit: physical_manuscript
Inferon evidence path
scriptome-path-28d3f135f55a79955e9df7e4dc64be2cd8986bff10cf451d
c15 Islamic world
cell-specific estimate
Integrated posterior passed every public-promotion gate for this physical-manuscript cell.
894 physical manuscripts
interval 256-3115
integrated_promoted
target unit: physical_manuscript
Inferon evidence path
scriptome-path-195d351106c845499c2479579a0658bc34ed175ae6c081e9
c16 Islamic world
group-inherited estimate — not cell-specific.
Group-inherited estimate; this is not cell-specific and the interval is widened for shrinkage.
Borrowed from group: support_regime=paper|climate_regime=arid|tradition=islamic|catalogue_coverage_tier=sparse
Shrinkage weight to group: 1.00
Group mean mu_g: 48; tau_g: 0.00
48 physical manuscripts
interval 20-115
pooled_group_prior
target unit: physical_manuscript
Inferon evidence path
scriptome-path-64e1a8f94339e11abc0f3786b41782063f0bd2e0db393428
c17 Islamic world
group-inherited estimate — not cell-specific.
Group-inherited estimate; this is not cell-specific and the interval is widened for shrinkage.
Borrowed from group: support_regime=paper|climate_regime=arid|tradition=islamic|catalogue_coverage_tier=sparse
Shrinkage weight to group: 1.00
Group mean mu_g: 48; tau_g: 0.00
48 physical manuscripts
interval 20-115
pooled_group_prior
target unit: physical_manuscript
Inferon evidence path
scriptome-path-1dce9e35047e6d4702263b3932bfaacd139d41c9b62b153f
c18 Islamic world
cell-specific estimate
Integrated posterior passed every public-promotion gate for this physical-manuscript cell.
1663 physical manuscripts
interval 477-5798
integrated_promoted
target unit: physical_manuscript
Inferon evidence path
scriptome-path-65417e0d41d939c694e33cb9b4791152bb300ec4f94aa23e
c19 Islamic world
group-inherited estimate — not cell-specific.
Group-inherited estimate; this is not cell-specific and the interval is widened for shrinkage.
Borrowed from group: support_regime=paper|climate_regime=arid|tradition=islamic|catalogue_coverage_tier=sparse
Shrinkage weight to group: 1.00
Group mean mu_g: 48; tau_g: 0.00
48 physical manuscripts
interval 20-115
pooled_group_prior
target unit: physical_manuscript
Inferon evidence path
scriptome-path-6771599c4804e30652319dfffb1dfff663646c5319788850
Supporting ledger
Period Tradition Language-attributed extant count (inference) Buringh published series (evidence) Noetom prior (noetic) Grounded engine run (inference) Triangulated estimate (inference)
c06 Islamic world 0.20 undated 0 - - 16
envelope 2-30
8
0-30
c07 Islamic world 0.20 undated 0 - - 12
envelope 1-23
6
0-23
c08 Islamic world 0.80 undated 0 - - 36
envelope 4-69
18
0-69
c09 Islamic world 1.50 undated 0 - - 51
envelope 5-96
25
0-96
c10 Islamic world 1.20 undated 0 - - 31
envelope 3-58
15
0-58
c11 Islamic world 11.64 undated 0 - - 221
envelope 22-420
111
0-420
c12 Islamic world 18.29 undated 0 - - 261
envelope 26-497
138
9-497
c13 Islamic world 52.18 undated 0 - - 699
envelope 70-1328
356
10-1328
c14 Islamic world 66.05 undated 0 - - 991
envelope 99-1882
495
0-1882
c15 Islamic world 78.61 undated 0 - - 1305
envelope 130-2479
652
0-2479
c16 Islamic world 121.75 undated 0 - - 2021
envelope 202-3840
704
17-3840
c17 Islamic world 182.03 undated 0 - - 3022
envelope 302-5741
1019
8-5741
c18 Islamic world 186.47 undated 0 - - 3095
envelope 310-5881
1548
0-5881
c19 Islamic world 139.50 undated 0 - - 2316
envelope 232-4400
802
17-4400
A large share of the Islamic tradition's dated census is not fine-grained: 71.4% of its dated records (105,226 of 147,288) carry the exact same generic vHMML placeholder date range, 1700-1950, not a real per-item date -- driven almost entirely by HMML's West African/Mali-Timbuktu digitization program (119,322 records, most of the Islamic tradition by count). A century-level reading of the Islamic rows on this page is, for most of that mass, not actually informative about century. See the HMML/vHMML row on the sources page →

Method Ledger

Region inferred from language, not recorded origin.

Run
86
Spec
grounded_islamic.v1
Input snapshot
64b4956a73a8787bb5a6e1222ece8fc58d8ca2619ad9eda479d8882bc47d4a88

Parameter provenance

  • extant: ExtantCount rows, one identity per dedup cluster.
  • correction_factor: Borrowed unchanged from Buringh Latin West benchmark spec; tradition-specific correction recalibration is future judged work. For periods beyond the Latin West benchmark, correction_factor carries forward the borrowed c15 placeholder value until judged tradition-specific recalibration lands.
  • scaling_factor: Borrowed unchanged from Buringh Latin West benchmark spec; tradition-specific scaling recalibration is future judged work. For periods beyond the Latin West benchmark, scaling_factor carries forward the borrowed c15 placeholder value until judged tradition-specific recalibration lands.
  • survival: Borrowed Latin West base survival with authored tradition loss events; pending tradition-specific recalibration. For periods beyond the Latin West benchmark, survival carries forward the borrowed c15 placeholder value until judged tradition-specific recalibration lands.

Methods

These are supporting ledgers. The public reading above uses the public source label first.

c06 / Islamic world
8 range 0-30
!= divergent from 2 methods
  • Extant-survival engine: 0 (0-0), run 75
  • Language-attributed extant survival: 16 (2-30), run 86 Region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Arabic low-discrimination / widest envelope
c07 / Islamic world
6 range 0-23
!= divergent from 2 methods
  • Extant-survival engine: 0 (0-0), run 75
  • Language-attributed extant survival: 12 (1-23), run 86 Region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Arabic low-discrimination / widest envelope
c08 / Islamic world
18 range 0-69
!= divergent from 2 methods
  • Extant-survival engine: 0 (0-0), run 75
  • Language-attributed extant survival: 36 (4-69), run 86 Region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Arabic low-discrimination / widest envelope
c09 / Islamic world
25 range 0-96
!= divergent from 2 methods
  • Extant-survival engine: 0 (0-0), run 75
  • Language-attributed extant survival: 51 (5-96), run 86 Region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Arabic low-discrimination / widest envelope
c10 / Islamic world
15 range 0-58
!= divergent from 2 methods
  • Extant-survival engine: 0 (0-0), run 75
  • Language-attributed extant survival: 31 (3-58), run 86 Region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Arabic low-discrimination / widest envelope
c11 / Islamic world
111 range 0-420
!= divergent from 2 methods
  • Extant-survival engine: 0 (0-0), run 75
  • Language-attributed extant survival: 221 (22-420), run 86 Region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Arabic low-discrimination / widest envelope
c12 / Islamic world
138 range 9-497
!= divergent from 2 methods
  • Extant-survival engine: 14 (9-25), run 75
  • Language-attributed extant survival: 261 (26-497), run 86 Region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Arabic low-discrimination / widest envelope
c13 / Islamic world
356 range 10-1328
!= divergent from 2 methods
  • Extant-survival engine: 13 (10-18), run 75
  • Language-attributed extant survival: 699 (70-1328), run 86 Region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Arabic low-discrimination / widest envelope
c14 / Islamic world
495 range 0-1882
!= divergent from 2 methods
  • Extant-survival engine: 0 (0-0), run 75
  • Language-attributed extant survival: 991 (99-1882), run 86 Region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Arabic low-discrimination / widest envelope
c15 / Islamic world
652 range 0-2479
!= divergent from 2 methods
  • Extant-survival engine: 0 (0-0), run 75
  • Language-attributed extant survival: 1305 (130-2479), run 86 Region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Arabic low-discrimination / widest envelope
c16 / Islamic world
704 range 17-3840
!= divergent from 3 methods
  • Extant-survival engine: 50 (37-68), run 75
  • Language-attributed extant survival: 2021 (202-3840), run 86 Region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Arabic low-discrimination / widest envelope
  • Dated-colophon rate: 40 (17-100), run 96
c17 / Islamic world
1019 range 8-5741
!= divergent from 3 methods
  • Extant-survival engine: 17 (12-23), run 75
  • Language-attributed extant survival: 3022 (302-5741), run 86 Region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Arabic low-discrimination / widest envelope
  • Dated-colophon rate: 20 (8-50), run 96
c18 / Islamic world
1548 range 0-5881
!= divergent from 2 methods
  • Extant-survival engine: 0 (0-0), run 75
  • Language-attributed extant survival: 3095 (310-5881), run 86 Region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Arabic low-discrimination / widest envelope
c19 / Islamic world
802 range 17-4400
!= divergent from 3 methods
  • Extant-survival engine: 50 (37-68), run 75
  • Language-attributed extant survival: 2316 (232-4400), run 86 Region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Arabic low-discrimination / widest envelope
  • Dated-colophon rate: 40 (17-100), run 96

Coverage metadata

Run key
scriptome-other-traditions-census-20260616
Dedup policy
Date policy
Dated ranges allocate proportionally across c06-c19 overlaps for this tradition. Undated and out-of-scope records are excluded from language-attributed period counts.
Sources included in first row
fihrist-tei

Counterevidence and limits

Grounded catalogue run for scriptome-lang-20260614. Language-attributed extant counts: region inferred from language, not recorded origin. Survival/correction/scaling parameters are inherited from the Buringh Latin West benchmark until region-specific recalibration is judged separately.

What would change these numbers

  • Better catalogue coverage.
  • Region-specific survival calibration.
  • Dating refinements.

Records behind these numbers

Every physical-manuscript record mapped to this region, grouped by the source catalogue it came from, with that source's own licence and a few sample shelfmarks.

Cuneiform Digital Library Initiative (CDLI) (44789 records)
source site
"Text in the pages of CDLI may be freely copied, aggregated and re-used according to common and fair academic practice; we request, in the case of re-use of considerable textual data, that mention be made of the source …
Sample shelfmarks: vat 01533, vat 15263, vat 15253
papyri.info (IDP: DDbDP / HGV / APIS / DCLP) (18 records)
source site
This data is made available under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/), with copyright and attribution to the respective projects. Quoted verbatim from https://raw.gi…
Sample shelfmarks: 686, 687, london, british library add ms 14585
FIHRIST TEI manuscript descriptions (9 records)
source site
Operator-authorized reuse 2026-06-13 (Inferpedia project owner); upstream TEI public at github.com/fihristorg/fihrist-mss with no explicit upstream license
Sample shelfmarks: or 16176, or 16559, rspa 96