The Dresden Codex Venus corrections walk the optimal Stern–Brocot path toward the true synodic period — best-rational-approximation arithmetic. Falsify: the codex's own correction scheme.
Generated by Fable · below the evidence/publication boundary
One Thousand and One Conjectures
308 of 1001 posed · 158 shepherd-triaged · 150 provisional · 0 frontier · 20 predictions · 9 resolved (6 supported / 3 killed) — the 1001st will be posed at Ars Inquirendi, Oxford, 20 November 2026.
Cross-domain conjectures generated noetically by Fable — a frontier AI proposing, from its own knowledge, surprising connections between two well-known domains that it judged likely to be both novel and important. Each pairs a specific claim with a quantitative prediction and a dataset that could prove it wrong; each was then checked against the literature to flag the ones with known priors.
This is one form of lead generation for Inferpedia, the encyclopedia of the missing — and this page is an early preview.
Why these conjectures matter: charting the noetome — its structure, limits & potential →
Nothing here is claimed as verified-novel. Each sits below the evidence/publication boundary: a connection already known in the literature is shown honestly and tagged Prior, and every prediction is registered before it is scored. Spotted a prior yourself? Open any conjecture and weigh in.
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What the tags mean
- Open — no decisive result yet
- Prior — a prior formulation exists in the literature
- Supported — a registered prediction held up in data
- Falsified — a registered prediction was refuted
- testable — a quantitative prediction + kill-dataset is registered
- Shepherd-triaged — an authoritative Fable-authored verdict; shown as the pills above and the only tier in the headline numbers
- provisional — model-triaged, shepherd review pending — an Opus-authored first pass, not yet shepherd-confirmed and excluded from every headline figure
- awaiting prior-art check — hunt open — no triage yet; found a prior yourself? open it and weigh in
Triage state
Place & era tags are curatorial, authored by Claude (Opus 4.8).
Showing 1–9 of 9 matching conjectures.
City abandonment order follows storage-per-capita crossing a common threshold — a percolation collapse, not a uniform drought story. Falsify: LiDAR reservoir volumes vs terminal monument dates.
Maya settlement rank-size should be Zipfian within unified polities and log-normal in fragmented eras — settlement statistics as a political-integration gauge. Falsify: LiDAR settlement hierarchies vs epigraphic political history.
Early-warning signals of critical transitions meet Maya epigraphy: the katun-ending dedication network was a field of coupled oscillators, and like any complex system nearing a tipping point it desynchronized first — rising variance and autocorrelation in dedication timing precede each region's last…
Joins Maya vase literacy to the sociology of workshop imitation: the Primary Standard Sequence — the dedication formula rimming elite drinking vessels — was ordered, slotted, and rhythmic, and patrons wanted its look even from painters who could not read. If pseudo-glyph…
Maya polychrome cylinders pose a closed-loop composition problem, and workshop painters solved it the way a tailor does: by giving the garment a seam and placing it at the back. Because these vessels were presented and used along a principal viewing axis…
The Primary Standard Sequence on Maya vases is a fixed dedicatory formula fitted onto rims of very different circumferences; if the band was planned like piecework lettering against available length, abbreviation should be hierarchical rather than ad hoc, dropping the same expendable…
Mixtec screenfold painters worked along red guide-lined boustrophedon registers laid out before painting. If composition ran on a short planning horizon, spacing should compress as the painter approaches each register turn — the same crowding-at-the-end signature papyrologists read in line justification —…
Whether Maya codex production divided glyphic and pictorial labour is unresolved. The conjecture: it did not — each glyphically identified scribal hand painted its own deity images, so a hand's iconographic micro-habits (the drawing of God B's eye, ear-ornament forms, foot rendering)…